Oscar Predictions- November 10th

Award Season is about to heat up.  The next month brings us the AFI Film Festival and the beginning of the critics awards with the New York Critics and the National Board of Review.  Late screening films such as War Horse, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, We Bought a Zoo, and The Iron Lady are having screenings or will be having them this month.  I will be making more updates in the next few months and weeks to my predictions as the Oscar race will be in full swing.  These predictions are meant to be for fun and no more than that.  I have been predicting since 2004, with more success some years than others.

Color Coding For Strength of Contenders:

Green: Locks
Blue: Strong Bets
Violet: Contenders/Potential Nominees
Red: Longshot


Best Picture 

1. The Artist

2. The Descendants 

3. War Horse

4. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

5. The Help

6. Midnight in Paris

7. Moneyball

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8. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

9. The Tree of Life

10. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

11. The Ides of March 

12. Hugo- NEW!

13. J Edgar

14. Young Adult

15. We Bought a Zoo

Dropping Out: 
The Iron Lady

Best Director

1. Steven Spielberg (War Horse)

2. Alexander Payne (The Descendants) 

3. Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) 

4. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)

5. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)

6. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)

7. Bennett Miller (Moneyball)

8. Thomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)

9. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

10.  David Fincher (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo) 

11. Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)

12. Tate Taylor (The Help)

13. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)

14. Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo)

15. Jason Reitman (Young Adult)

Dropping Out: 
Simon Curtis (My Week with Mariyln)



Best Actor 

1. Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)

2. George Clooney (The Descendants)

3. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

4. Jean DuJardin (The Artist)

5. Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy) 

6. Michael Fassbender (Shame)

7. Woody Harrelson (Rampart)- NEW!

8. Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)

9. Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)

10.  Demian Bichir (A Better Life)

11. Joseph Gordon Levitt (50/50)

12. Paul Giamatti (Win Win)

13. Ryan Gosling (Drive)
14. Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
15. Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)- NEW!

Dropping Out:  
Tom Hardy (Warrior)
Christoph Waltz (Carnage)- Moved to great Supporting Category

Best Actress

 

1. Viola Davis (The Help)

2. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)

3. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
4. Glenn Close (Alfred Nobbs)
5. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)

6. Elizabeth Olson (Martha Marcy May Marlene)

7. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tatoo)
8. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin) 

9. Michelle Yeoh (The Lady)
10. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)

11. Kirsten Scott Thomas (Sarah's Key)

12. Olivia Colman (Tyrannosaur)- NEW!
13. Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)
14. Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)- NEW!
15. Vera Farmiga (Higher Ground)- NEW!

Dropping Out:
Jodie Foster (Carnage)- Moving to Supporting
Adepero Oduye (Pariah)
Emily Watson (Oranges and Sunshine)




Best Supporting Actor

1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) 

2. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)

3. Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

4. Albert Brooks (Drive)

5. Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)

6. Nick Nolte (Warrior)

7. John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)  
8. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March)

9. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)

10. Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)

11. David Thewlis (The Lady)

12. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)

13. Benedict Cumberbatch (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)

14. Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)

15. Niels Arestrup (War Horse)

Dropping Out:
Ezra Miller (We Need to Talk About Kevin)


Supporting Actress 
  

1. Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
2. Octavia Spencer (The Help)
3. Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
4. Bérénice Bejo (The Artist) 

5. Jessica Chastain (The Help)

6. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
7. Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)- NEW!

8. Carey Mulligan (Shame)- NEW!
9. Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)

10. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)

11. Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
12. Bryce Dallas Howard (The Help)
13. Naomi Watts (J. Edgar)

14. Judi Dench (J. Edgar)

15. Jodie Foster (Carnage)- NEW!


Dropping Out:
Vanessa Redgrave (Anonymous)
Kiera Knightly (A Dangerous Method)- Moving to Lead Category
Andrea Riseborough (W.E.)