Oscar Predictions: December 5th Post NYFCC and NBR

The Oscar race began in earnest last week with announcement of many award bodies.  On the mainstream front, the New York Film Critics (NYFCC) and the National Board of Review (NBR) both released their winners in many categories for the best of the year.  On the indie side, the Gotham Awards announced their best of winners for the year, the Indie Spirit Awards announced their nominees, and the British Independent Film Association (BIFA) gave out their awards for the best of the year as well.  Some films that came out extremely well include The Artist and Hugo.  Films that failed miserably so far include Martha Marcy May Marlene and Albert Nobbs, which hinder the potential nominees of Elizabeth Olsen and Glenn Close in the Best Actress category.  Midnight in Paris also needs some help in the upcoming weeks in order to pull off a ever dimming Best Picture nomination.  The supporting categories still very much remain up in the air, but with these awards and nominations of the last week, the dominoes begin falling into place.  And we are still waiting on Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close to be screened.  Daldry's film could be the surprise contender of the Oscar season or it could end up being a stinker.  More awards bodies and critics announce their nominees and winners in the upcoming weeks and an update will likely occur after them.
 
Green: Locks
Blue: Strong Bets
Violet: Contenders/Potential Nominees
Red: Longshots

Best Picture 


1. The Artist- NYFCC, NBR Top 10

2. War Horse- NBR Top 10

3. The Descendants- NBR Top 10

4. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

5. Hugo- NBR Best Film

6. Moneyball

7. The Help

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8. Midnight in Paris

9. The Tree of Life- NBR Top 10

10. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

11. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- NBR Top 10

12. The Ides of March- NBR Top 10

13. J Edgar- NBR Top 10

14. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II- NBR Top 10

15. Drive- NBR Top 10

 

Best Director

  

1. Steven Spielberg (War Horse)

2. Alexander Payne (The Descendants) 

3. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)- NYFCC

4. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)- NBR

5. Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

6. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)

7. Bennett Miller (Moneyball)

8. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)

9.  David Fincher (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo) 

10. Tate Taylor (The Help)

11. Thomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)

12. George Clooney (The Ides of March)

13. Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)

14. Jason Reitman (Young Adult)

15. Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo)

 

Best Actor 

1. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)- NYFCC

2. George Clooney (The Descendants)- NBR

3. Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)

4. Jean DuJardin (The Artist)

5. Michael Fassbender (Shame)

6. Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy) 

7. Woody Harrelson (Rampart)

8. Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)

9. Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)

10.  Demian Bichir (A Better Life)

11. Joseph Gordon Levitt (50/50)

12. Paul Giamatti (Win Win)

13. Ryan Gosling (Drive)

14. Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)

15. Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)

 

Best Actress

1. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)- NYFCC

2. Viola Davis (The Help)

3. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)

4. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
5. Glenn Close (Alfred Nobbs)

6. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin) - NBR

7. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)

8. Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)

9. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

10. Elizabeth Olson (Martha Marcy May Marlene)

11. Michelle Yeoh (The Lady)
12. Olivia Colman (Tyrannosaur)

13. Kirsten Scott Thomas (Sarah's Key)

14. Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)
15. Ellen Barkin- Another Happy Day

 

Best Supporting Actor

1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) - NBR

2. Albert Brooks (Drive)- NYFCC

3. Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

4. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)

5. Ben Kingsley (Hugo)

6. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC

7. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)

8. Corey Stoll (Midnight in Paris)

9. Viggo Mortensen  (A Dangerous Method)

10. Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)

11. Nick Nolte (Warrior)

12. John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)  

13. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March)

14. David Thewlis (The Lady)

15. Niels Arestrup (War Horse)

 

Supporting Actress 

1. Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)

2. Octavia Spencer (The Help)
3. Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)- NBR
4. Bérénice Bejo (The Artist) 

5. Jessica Chastain (The Help)

6. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
7. Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC

8. Carey Mulligan (Shame)
9. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
10. Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

11. Judy Greer- The Descendants
12. Bryce Dallas Howard (The Help)

13. Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)

14. Jodie Foster (Carnage)

15. Jessica Chastain (Take Shelter)- NYFCC