Thursday, December 29, 2011

Most Anticipated for the First Third of 2012

I was thinking of writing a "Most Anticipated" List of 2012, but it is still really early to start writing about  movies that come out next autumn and winter.  Its probably best to look at the films coming to us in the next few months.  Thus I decided it was best to split the new year into three categories: the winter and spring first third of the year which usually gets dumped with 2011 holdovers from January to April, the summer blockbuster third that goes from May to August, and the latter awards season of the year where prestige picks from the studios get released ranging from September to December. 

I don't include 2011 films that will be released in 2012 in this list.  Films like Coriolanus, In Darkness, Rampart, The Lady, Flowers of War, and Albert Nobbs all received 2011 limited released in Las Angeles or New York, even though they I won't and general public be able to see them for some time.  I am however including films that were internationally released in 2011, but will not be released in the US until 2012.  I use the US release dates in determining in which year films will place in my top 10s and most anticipated lists.  

2011 was a great year in cinema.  My top twenty will be coming in the next month or so as I catch up on a few films.  But looking forward to 2012, it seems to be a good year as well. The first third presents a good amount of notable films this year, more than usual.  Two films that missed my list of most anticipated for this third include Joseph Cedar's Footnote, which premiered at Cannes last year and will be release by Sony Pictures Classics and Gary Ross' Hunger Games, which has a lot of anticipation among readers of the book series.  The trailer of Hunger Games, however, has failed to really excite me.  Two other films to note that did not make the list are John Madden's The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Terrence Davies' The Deep Blue Sea.  Both are by good directors and could be really good films. 

#10 Salmon Fishing in the Yemen


Lasse Hallstrom's new film appears to be a light comedy starring Ewan McGreggor, Kristen Scott Thomas, and Emily Blunt.  Simon Beaufoy of Slumdog Millionaire and The Full Monty fame has written the screenplay for the film.  Salmon could be the feel good film of the beginning of the year.

Release Date: March 2nd, Limited Release

#9 Mirror Mirror



Tarsem Singh is not really a great filmmaker, but he always has visual flair.  Last years Immortals was example of that.  His new film is one of two that take on the story of Snow White.  The other is released later in the year.  Julia Roberts stars in Singh's film and she appears to be having much fun in the role of the wicked step-mother.

Release Date: March 16th, Wide Release

 #8 John Carter



Disney is banking a lot of money of their new film John Carter.  Directed by Andrew Stanton (Wall-E, A Bug's Life, and Finding Nemo), the film is a sci-fi film about a man who wakes up in a different time on Mars.  Stanton may very well be the best director at Pixar, making three great films and it will be interesting to see how he can transfer himself to life action.  Brad Bird did well with Mission Impossible 4 and we'll see if Stanton can follow.

Release Date: March 9th, Wide

#7 The Pirates! Band of Misfits 


Aardman Animation's last two films have been computer animated (Arthur Christmas and Flushed Away), but in The Pirates! Band of Misfits, they return to their more acclaimed claymation- stop motion animation.  The previews for the movie look great and funny and the movie looks to be all around fun.

Release Date: March 30th, Wide

#6 The Kid With a Bike



The Dardennes Brothers new film premiered at Cannes last year.  I originally had it on my most anticipated of last year's Oscar season, but the film has been pushed to a 2012 US release.  Again, I'm mostly anticipating the film because of the directors and their history.  The film should not disappoint.

Release Date: March 16th, Limited

#5 Once Upon a Time in Anatolia



The new film from Nuri Bilge Ceylan was released last year at Cannes and received a great response.  It tied for the #2 spot at the festival (The Grand Prix award) with none other than The Kid With a Bike.  The film is getting a small US release by a small distributor (The Cinema Guild).  If I don't get a chance to see it in theaters, I will try to see it once it hits DVD.  The film could also be a surprise nominee for the Oscars Best Foreign Film Category this year. 

Release Date: January 4th, Limited

#4 Kill List



I don't know much about Kill List, except that it is a hit-man thriller that turns into a horror film.  The movie was released in 2011 in the UK, but will be getting a 2012 release in the US.  It did very well at the British Independent Film Awards.  It looks pretty cool.  It is getting a video on demand release by IFC on January 4th and I'm not sure if it will be getting a real theatrical release in weeks to follow or not.

Release Date: January 4th, Video on Demand; Limited- TBA?

#3 Wettest County

Wettest County is the newest film from director John Hillcoat (The Proposition, The Road).  The film is written by Nick Cave and stars Jessica Chastain, Tom Hardy, and Shia LaBouf.  The movie is set during the prohibition period as bootlegging gangs are being threatened by the government.  No trailer is currently available for the film.  The talent involved (Hillcoat, Hardy, Cave, and Chastain) is enough for anyone to want to see the movie. 


Release Date: April 20th, Wide


#2 Haywire


Steven Soderbergh has been on a roll lately, putting out film after film.  Haywire is one of his final films before he retires or goes on a sabatical, or whatever you want to call it.  Early word of the film signals it is one of his best and who could expect less with one of cinema's rising acting geniuses of Michael Fassbender playing a supporting role?

Release Date: January 20th, Wide 

#1 The Secret World of Arrietty 

 


Arrietty is the newest film by the greatest animation studio in the world, Studio Ghibli.  The film itself is directed by a new director, Hiromasa Yonebayashi.  The studio has chosen some new directors recently because its two landmark directors, Hayao Miyazaki and Isao Takahata, are rather old and may not make many more films.   Miyazaki however did write the screenplay for the new film and it has opened to great reviews. 

Release Date: February 17th, Wide



Monday, December 26, 2011

Christmastime Oscar Predictions Updated- 12/27/11


The Weeks leading up to Christmas were full of award nominations by the top critic groups (The New York Film Critics- NYFCC, the Las Angeles Films Critics-LAFCA, the National Board of Review-NBR, and the American Film Institute- AFI).  Also announcing their favorite films of the year were the Broadcast Film Critics (BFCA), the Hollywood Foreign Press/The Golden Globes, and the Screen Actors Guild (SAG).  All these early awards and nominations have made the Oscar race much clearer and we now see who are the real contenders and which films and performances are dead.  Doing well in the last few weeks as projected were The Artist, Hugo, The Descendants, The Help, and War Horse.  All five seem poised for Best Picture nominations.  Also doing well were Moneyball and Midnight in Paris.  While these two films may not have enough passion in the Academy, they are still strong contenders for the Best Picture spot.  With somewhere between 5 and ten nominees for Best Picture under the new Academy rules, we could see both of them get in.  Alongside them, The Tree of Life, could pop up on Academy day.  Right now I'm just predicting 7 nominees for Best Picture.  Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close is an interesting case.  It hasn't been doing the greatest in nominations with precursor groups, but it was released late and maybe too late for these voting bodies.  Some reviews for the film have been highly negative though.  Maybe it won't get in at all in any categories.  The Ides of March managed to get some help with a Golden Globe nomination, but it seems that that alone will not save it.  Maybe Bridesmaids will surprise up on Oscar nomination morning, but I doubt it.  Lastly, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy has failed to get any early recognition, besides from the British Indie Awards.  It seems dead on arrival.    

Upcoming in the next few weeks will be the final major indicators of the awards race, the Writers Guild (WGA), the Directors Guild (DGA), and the Producers Guild (PGA).  Also the Brits will mix things up with the BAFTAs.  Not to be forgotten are the ever becoming less important critics group (to the Oscar season), the National Society of Film Critics (NSFC).
 
Green: Locks
Blue: Strong Bets
Violet: Contenders/Potential Nominees
Red: Longshot

Best Picture 


1. The Artist- NYFCC, NBR Top 10, BFCA, SAG Ensemble, GG Comedy
2. Hugo- NBR Best Film, BFCA, GG Drama, AFI Top 10
3. The Descendants- NBR Top 10, LAFCA, BFCA, SAG Ensemble, GG Drama, AFI Top 10
4. The Help- BFCA, SAG Ensemble, GG Drama, AFI Top 10
5. War Horse- NBR Top 10, BFCA, GG Drama, AFI Top 10

6. Moneyball- BFCA, GG Drama, AFI Top 10
7. Midnight in Paris- BFCA, SAG Ensemble, GG Comedy, AFI Top 10
---
8. The Tree of Life- NBR Top 10, BFCA, AFI Top 10
9. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close- BFCA
10. The Ides of March- NBR Top 10, GG Drama

11. Bridesmaids- SAG Ensemble, GG Comedy, AFI Top 10
12. Drive- NBR Top 10, BFCA
13. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- NBR Top 10, AFI Top 10
14. J Edgar- NBR Top 10, AFI Top 10
15. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II- NBR Top 10


Best Director




1. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)- NYFCC, BFCA, GG
2. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)- NBR, BFCA, GG
3. Alexander Payne (The Descendants)- BFCA , GG
4. Steven Spielberg (War Horse)- BFCA
5. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC

6. Bennett Miller (Moneyball)
7. Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)- BFCA 
8. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)- GG
9. Tate Taylor (The Help)
10. Nicholas Winding Refn (Drive)- BFCA

11. George Clooney (The Ides of March)- GG
12.  David Fincher (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo) 
13. Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)
14. Thomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
15. Jason Reitman (Young Adult)

Best Actor 

1. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)- NYFCC, BFCA, SAG, GG Drama
2. George Clooney (The Descendants)- NBR, BFCA, SAG, GG Drama
3. Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)- BFCA, SAG, GG Drama
4. Jean DuJardin (The Artist)- BFCA, SAG, GG Comedy
5.  Demian Bichir (A Better Life)- SAG

6. Michael Fassbender (Shame)- LAFCA, BFCA, GG Drama
7. Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)
8. Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy) 
9. Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)- GG Drama
10. Ryan Gosling (Drive)- BFCA

11. Woody Harrelson (Rampart)
12. Joseph Gordon Levitt (50/50)- GG Comedy
13. Brendan Gleeson (The Guard)- GG Comedy
15. Owen Wilson (Midnight in Paris)- GG Comedy
15. Ryan Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love)- GG Comedy



Best Actress

1. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)- NYFCC, BFCA, SAG, GG Drama
2. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)- BFCA, SAG, GG Comedy
3. Viola Davis (The Help)- BFCA, SAG, GG Drama
4. Glenn Close (Alfred Nobbs)- SAG, GG Drama
5. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin) – NBR, BFCA, SAG, GG Drama

6. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)- BFCA, GG Comedy
7. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tatoo)- GG Drama
8. Elizabeth Olson (Martha Marcy May Marlene)- BFCA
9. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
10. Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)


11. Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)- GG Comedy
12. Jodie Foster (Carnage)- GG Comedy
13. Kate Winslet (Carnage)- GG Comedy
14. Olivia Colman (Tyrannosaur)
15. Yun Jung-hee (Poetry)- LAFCA



Best Supporting Actor


1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) – NBR, LAFCA, BFCA, SAG, GG
2. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)- BFCA, SAG, GG
3. Nick Nolte (Warrior) – BFCA, SAG
4. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)- SAG, GG
5. Albert Brooks (Drive)- NYFCC, BFCA, GG

6. Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)- SAG
7. Ben Kingsley (Hugo)
8. Viggo Mortensen  (A Dangerous Method)- GG
9. Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)- BFCA
10. Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

11. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC
12. Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)- BFCA
13. Corey Stoll (Midnight in Paris)
14. John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)  
15. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March)



Supporting Actress 

1. Jessica Chastain (The Help)- LAFCA, BFCA, SAG, GG
2. Octavia Spencer (The Help)- BFCA, SAG, GG
3. Bérénice Bejo (The Artist)- BFCA, SAG, GG
4. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)- SAG, GG
5. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)- BFCA, SAG


6. Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)- NBR, BFCA, GG
7. Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
8. Carey Mulligan (Shame)- BFCA
9. Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC, LAFCA
10. Jodie Foster (Carnage)- GG Comedy

11. Jessica Chastain (Take Shelter)- NYFCC
12. Kate Winslet (Carnage)- GG Comedy
13. Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
14. Judy Greer (The Descendants)
15. Bryce Dallas Howard (The Help)


Monday, December 5, 2011

Oscar Predictions: December 5th Post NYFCC and NBR


The Oscar race began in earnest last week with announcement of many award bodies.  On the mainstream front, the New York Film Critics (NYFCC) and the National Board of Review (NBR) both released their winners in many categories for the best of the year.  On the indie side, the Gotham Awards announced their best of winners for the year, the Indie Spirit Awards announced their nominees, and the British Independent Film Association (BIFA) gave out their awards for the best of the year as well.  Some films that came out extremely well include The Artist and Hugo.  Films that failed miserably so far include Martha Marcy May Marlene and Albert Nobbs, which hinder the potential nominees of Elizabeth Olsen and Glenn Close in the Best Actress category.  Midnight in Paris also needs some help in the upcoming weeks in order to pull off a ever dimming Best Picture nomination.  The supporting categories still very much remain up in the air, but with these awards and nominations of the last week, the dominoes begin falling into place.  And we are still waiting on Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close to be screened.  Daldry's film could be the surprise contender of the Oscar season or it could end up being a stinker.  More awards bodies and critics announce their nominees and winners in the upcoming weeks and an update will likely occur after them.
 
Green: Locks
Blue: Strong Bets
Violet: Contenders/Potential Nominees
Red: Longshots

Best Picture 


1. The Artist- NYFCC, NBR Top 10
2. War Horse- NBR Top 10
3. The Descendants- NBR Top 10
4. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
5. Hugo- NBR Best Film

6. Moneyball
7. The Help
--- 
8. Midnight in Paris
9. The Tree of Life- NBR Top 10
10. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

11. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- NBR Top 10
12. The Ides of March- NBR Top 10
13. J Edgar- NBR Top 10
14. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II- NBR Top 10
15. Drive- NBR Top 10

 
Best Director
  

1. Steven Spielberg (War Horse)
2. Alexander Payne (The Descendants) 
3. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)- NYFCC
4. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)- NBR
5. Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

6. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
7. Bennett Miller (Moneyball)
8. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
9.  David Fincher (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo) 
10. Tate Taylor (The Help)

11. Thomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
12. George Clooney (The Ides of March)
13. Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)
14. Jason Reitman (Young Adult)
15. Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo)

 
Best Actor 

1. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)- NYFCC
2. George Clooney (The Descendants)- NBR
3. Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
4. Jean DuJardin (The Artist)
5. Michael Fassbender (Shame)

6. Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy) 
7. Woody Harrelson (Rampart)
8. Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)
9. Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)
10.  Demian Bichir (A Better Life)

11. Joseph Gordon Levitt (50/50)
12. Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
13. Ryan Gosling (Drive)
14. Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
15. Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)

 
Best Actress

1. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)- NYFCC
2. Viola Davis (The Help)
3. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)
4. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
5. Glenn Close (Alfred Nobbs)

6. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin) - NBR
7. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
8. Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)
9. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
10. Elizabeth Olson (Martha Marcy May Marlene)


11. Michelle Yeoh (The Lady)
12. Olivia Colman (Tyrannosaur)
13. Kirsten Scott Thomas (Sarah's Key)
14. Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)
15. Ellen Barkin- Another Happy Day

 
Best Supporting Actor

1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) - NBR
2. Albert Brooks (Drive)- NYFCC
3. Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
4. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
5. Ben Kingsley (Hugo)

6. Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC
7. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
8. Corey Stoll (Midnight in Paris)
9. Viggo Mortensen  (A Dangerous Method)
10. Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)

11. Nick Nolte (Warrior)
12. John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)  
13. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March)
14. David Thewlis (The Lady)
15. Niels Arestrup (War Horse)

 
Supporting Actress 

1. Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
2. Octavia Spencer (The Help)
3. Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)- NBR
4. Bérénice Bejo (The Artist) 
5. Jessica Chastain (The Help)

6. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
7. Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)- NYFCC
8. Carey Mulligan (Shame)
9. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
10. Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

11. Judy Greer- The Descendants
12. Bryce Dallas Howard (The Help)
13. Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)
14. Jodie Foster (Carnage)
15. Jessica Chastain (Take Shelter)- NYFCC